AS Roma will travel 590km to Lombardy to take on Atalanta BC in the Serie A match day 36 on Monday. The match at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo is one critical encounter as both teams are eyeing Champions League spots for next season.
With 3 games remaining in 24/25, Atalanta find themselves at 3rd in the table with 68 points. They are challenged by Juventus and Lazio in 4th & 5th positions with 64 points and of course, their next opponents in AS Roma, who are 6th on the table with 63 points.
The Red and Yellow of Rome will have their work cut out with Dybala, and now Pellegrini, out for the season with injuries. What works for Roma is their historical H2H edge with this opponent – winning 20 of their last 46 meetings compared to Atalanta’s 16.
Though Atalanta boasts a strong record in the last 5 games between the two. The Black and Blues are unbeaten in that period, having won 4. Their 2-0 win back in December 2024 at the Stadio Olimpico highlighted this recent dominance.
Form Guide and Team Performance
Under Gian Piero Gasperini, Atalanta have been one of Serie A’s standout teams this season. But with 3 losses and 3 wins in last 7 games, they are in a slightly uncomfortable place. This period has also produced low goalscoring value for them but their last outing was a convincing 4-0 away win against newcomers Monza with De Ketelaere (x2), Lookman and Brescianini on target.
Atalanta are an attacking side who press all over the pitch, having scored 71 goals so far. But they also have a tendency to leak goals in home games with 20 goals conceded in 17 games at Gewiss Stadium.
On the other end, Claudio Ranieri’s side have managed just managed just 16 goals in 17 away matches but their recent form would be a cause of concern for Atalanta. Roma are on a 7-match unbeaten run with two wins in their last two games against Fiorentina and Inter Milan.
Key Players to Watch
Atalanta’s attack hinges on Mateo Retegui, who has 24 goals this season. His finishing makes him a prime pick for anytime goalscorer. Ademola Lookman is another threat with 14 goals but he’s an injury concern for Gasperini at the moment.
Charles De Ketelaere, with seven goals and five assists, is another creative force whereas right wingback Raoul Bellanova tops the charts on with 8 assists so far.
Roma’s injury crisis forces reliance on other players. Artem Dovbyk, with 12 goals in Serie A, is their main attacking threat. His physicality also makes him a strong bet for an anytime goal.
Matias Soulé, stepping up in Dybala’s absence, scored the winner against Inter. Gianluca Mancini controls their defence whereas Uzbeki forward Eldor Shomurodov is a potential wildcard to watch out.
Betting Tips and Predictions
Atalanta’s home form and Roma’s injury woes make the hosts clear favorites. The both teams to score (BTTS) market remains appealing, as Roma have scored in 59% of their away games, and Atalanta’s defense has leaked goals in most home matches.
The over/under 2.5 goals market leans toward Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting Atalanta’s high-scoring home games. For a value bet, our pick is Roma scoring exactly one goal, as they’ve done in 10 of 17 away matches.
With Pellegrini and Dybala sidelined, Roma’s attacking fluency is compromised, and Atalanta’s depth should come good. A 2-1 Atalanta win feels likely and for a safer bet, BTTS – Yes offers good value, while Retegui as an anytime goalscorer is a strong individual pick.
